May 11 Dryline

A dry line emerges over West Texas on May 11

May 11, 2023

As we’re preparing for Texas, we’re reading up on dry lines and keeping track of the local weather. As luck would have it, a dry line is installing itself over Texas as we speak.

Here’s the dew point chart showing a distinct border between the cold & dry air mass in the west and the moist hot air flowing up from the gulf. The min-trajectories show the winds converging in a southerly flow.

The National Weather Service predicts the conditions to be “sharpening up a dryline over the western CWA by 18Z. CAMs initiate convection late afternoon w/the Pecos supercell, w/additional convection developing north along the dryline by 00Z.”

Let’s what this explosive mix brings:

Storms the size of a European country, probably enough to disrupt commercial aviation